We invite researchers to participate in a ViEWS (a political Violence Early-Warning System) initiative - a friendly ‘prediction competition’ where the task is to predict changes in the intensity of organised political violence. We seek contributions of various sorts — the use of new methods, new data, or improved feature engineering.
If you are interested in participating, we ask you to send a 200-300 word abstract of your suggested contribution to us by 15 March 2020. We will then review the suggestions for consistency with the setup of the competition. Selected contributors will be invited to a workshop in Uppsala 8-9 October.
We will need a complete set of predictions for the competition and a brief write-up by 30 September 2020. We seek to publish a journal special issue/edited volume from the project, with a combination of an overview article with all contributors as co-authors and more in-depth presentation of selected contributions. More details about the prediction competition can be found in the PDF document at the bottom of this page.
We hope that you find this as exciting as we do and are tempted to develop a model for the project.
Stream the launch of "Societies at Risk"
Welcome to the launch of the new research project 'Societies at Risk' on 20 May 2022
We are pleased to invite you to the launch of a new six-year research project at the Department of Peace and Conflict Research: ‘Societies at Risk: the Impact of Armed Conflict on Human Development’.
RJ announces 39.7M SEK grant for 'Societies at Risk'
Uppsala University awarded a 39.7M SEK grant from Riksbankens Jubileumsfond (RJ) to study the effect of armed conflict on human development
Call for applications: Programmer, Department of Peace and Conflict Research
The Department of Peace and Conflict Research seeks a programmer to work with the project ViEWS and The Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP).
Call for applications: Researcher, ViEWS
ViEWS featured in the November/December issue of MIT Technological Review
In the article 'We are finally getting better at predicting organized conflict', MIT Technological Review looks into advancements in the field of conflict prediction. The article features ViEWS and the Early Warning Project from the US Holocaust Museum and Dartmouth College.
Open Access - ViEWS overview article in Journal of Peace Research
ViEWS published its overview article in Journal of Peace Research 56(2), pp. 155–174. The article is openly available and can be accessed here.
Policy Dialogue Day
The Policy Dialogue Day is an event organized by the V-Dem (Varieties of Democracy) Institute, the QoG (Quality of Government) Institute, GLD-Gothenburg (Program for Governance and Local Development), UCPD (Uppsala Conflict Data Program) and ViEWS (a Political Violence Early- Warning System). The conference aims to provide insight on questions relating to democracy and governance, and to serve as a meeting platform for practitioners, policy makers, and academics.
New blog post in Monkey Cage: "U.N. peacekeeping really can be effective."
First public forecasts from ViEWS: a political Violence Early-Warning System
The challenges of preventing, mitigating, and adapting to largescale political violence are daunting, particularly when violence escalates where it is not expected. With funding from the European Research Council, ViEWS is developing a system that is rigorous, data-based, and publicly available to researchers and the international community. On 7 June, ViEWS released its first public forecasts for Africa.
Policy Dialogue Day
ViEWS welcomes new researcher
First annual ViEWS workshop
ViEWS held its first annual workshop 25-26 September in Uppsala. The workshop consisted of a total of 30 participants who over the course of two days discussed forecasting advances in the field as well as within the project.
Håvard Hegre receives the Lilly and Sven Thuréus award
The Department congratulates Håvard Hegre who received the Lilly and Sven Thuréus award, the technical-economic class, on 29 August.
Håvard Hegre elected member of the Norwegian Academy of Science Letters
Dag Hammarskjöld Professor Håvard Hegre was elected into the Norwegian Academy of Science Letters in March 2017.
Kick-off meeting for the ViEWS project
The ViEWS project started up with a kick-off meeting on 17–18 January. The project, directed by Håvard Hegre and involving Hanne Fjelde, Lisa Hultman, Desiree Nilsson, as well as an international team of researchers, will develop, test, and iteratively improve a pilot Violence Early-Warning System (ViEWS).
Håvard Hegre elected Vice-President of the International Studies Association
In the recent elections in the International Studies Association, Håvard Hegre, Dag Hammarskjöld Professor of Peace and Conflict Research at Uppsala University was elected Vice-President for the 2018-19 term.