Current forecasts

The outputs from ViEWS are probabilistic assessments of the risk and likely severity of three types of conflict events at three levels of analysis. At the end of each month, we present  forecasts for the coming month and for the subsequent 36 months. The latest forecasts are found in the report below. To learn more about how well we forecast, please see the corresponding page. In-depth evaluations are also found in our publications.

Monthly forecasts December 2021 (pdf)
Explore the forecasts (.csv)

Last modified: 2021-12-23