Forecasts
Current forecasts
Each month, we generate new conflict forecasts for the next 1-36 months. We publish written summaries of the forecasts for the next quarter in the Risk Monitor series, and release datasets for the full forecasting window via the VIEWS API.
Summary reports of the forecasts for 2018-2021 can be downloaded below. For more recent forecasts, please visit our dedicated website viewsforecasting.org, where you can read our monthly forecast summaries (the Risk Monitor) and download our latest forecast data.
Historic summary reports, Jun 2018-Dec 2021
- Monthly forecasts December 2021 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts November 2021 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts October 2021 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts September 2021 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts August 2021 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts July 2021 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts June 2021 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts May 2021 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts April 2021 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts March 2021 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts February 2021 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts January 2021 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts December 2020 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts November 2020 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts October 2020 (pdf)
- Country report for Mali and Burkina Faso October 2020 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts September 2020 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts August 2020 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts July 2020 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts June 2020 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts May 2020 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts April 2020 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts March 2020 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts February 2020 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts January 2020 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts December 2019 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts November 2019 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts October 2019 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts September 2019 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts August 2019 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts July 2019 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts June 2019 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts May 2019 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts April 2019 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts March 2019 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts February 2019 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts January 2019 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts December 2018 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts November 2018 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts October 2018 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts September 2018 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts August 2018 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts July 2018 (pdf)
- Monthly forecasts June 2018 (pdf)
More detailed forecasts, including estimation results
- Monthly Extensive Report November 2019 (pdf)
- Monthly Extensive Report October 2019 (pdf)
- Monthly Extensive Report September 2019 (pdf)
- Monthly Extensive Report August 2019 (pdf)
- Monthly Extensive Report July 2019 (pdf)
- Monthly Extensive Report June 2019 (pdf)
- Monthly Extensive Report May 2019 (pdf)
- Monthly Extensive Report April 2019 (pdf)
- Monthly Extensive Report March 2019 (pdf)
- Monthly Extensive Report February 2019 (pdf)
- Monthly Extensive Report January 2019 (pdf)
- Monthly Extensive Report December 2018 (pdf)
- Monthly Extensive Report November 2018 (pdf)
- Monthly Extensive Report October 2018 (pdf)
- Monthly Extensive Report September 2018 (pdf)
- Monthly Extensive Report August 2018 (pdf)
- Appendix: ViEWS monthly estimate tables July 2018 (pdf)
- Appendix: ViEWS monthly estimate tables June 2018 (pdf)
Last modified: 2022-10-17