Prediction competition
2020-02-04
We invite researchers to participate in a ViEWS (a political Violence Early-Warning System) initiative - a friendly ‘prediction competition’ where the task is to predict changes in the intensity of organised political violence. We seek contributions of various sorts — the use of new methods, new data, or improved feature engineering.
If you are interested in participating, we ask you to send a 200-300 word abstract of your suggested contribution to us by 15 March 2020. We will then review the suggestions for consistency with the setup of the competition. Selected contributors will be invited to a workshop in Uppsala 8-9 October.
We will need a complete set of predictions for the competition and a brief write-up by 30 September 2020. We seek to publish a journal special issue/edited volume from the project, with a combination of an overview article with all contributors as co-authors and more in-depth presentation of selected contributions. More details about the prediction competition can be found in the PDF document at the bottom of this page.
We hope that you find this as exciting as we do and are tempted to develop a model for the project.
If you have any questions, or are ready to submit an abstract, send an email to havard.hegre@pcr.uu.se with copy to liana.lopes@pcr.uu.se.
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Stream the launch of "Societies at Risk"
2022-10-19
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Welcome to the launch of the new research project 'Societies at Risk' on 20 May 2022
2022-04-12
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RJ announces 39.7M SEK grant for 'Societies at Risk'
2022-02-09
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Call for applications: Programmer, Department of Peace and Conflict Research
2020-06-26
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Call for applications: Researcher, ViEWS
2020-02-06
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Prediction competition
2020-02-04
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ViEWS featured in the November/December issue of MIT Technological Review
2019-11-04
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Open Access - ViEWS overview article in Journal of Peace Research
2019-06-27
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Policy Dialogue Day
2019-03-08
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New blog post in Monkey Cage: "U.N. peacekeeping really can be effective."
2018-06-28
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First public forecasts from ViEWS: a political Violence Early-Warning System
2018-06-08
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Policy Dialogue Day
2018-04-19
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ViEWS welcomes new researcher
2017-10-10
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First annual ViEWS workshop
2017-09-27
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Håvard Hegre receives the Lilly and Sven Thuréus award
2017-08-29
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Håvard Hegre elected member of the Norwegian Academy of Science Letters
2017-05-03
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Kick-off meeting for the ViEWS project
2017-01-18
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Håvard Hegre elected Vice-President of the International Studies Association
2017-01-01