Papers, publications

Gilmore, Elisabeth, Håvard Hegre, Gudlaug Olafsdottir, and Kristina Petrova, 2021. “The ‘conflict trap’ reduces economic growth in the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways.” Working Paper, Uppsala University.
Hegre, Håvard, Remco Jansen, Angelica Lindqvist-McGowan, Paola Vesco, and Malika Rakhmankulova, 2021. Forecasting armed conflict in the Sahel (pdf). Report written for the UNHCR.
Randahl, David, and Johan Vegelius, 2021. ”Inference with extremes: Accounting for Extreme Values in Count Regression Models (pdf)”. Typescript Uppsala University.
Hegre, Håvard, Curtis Bell, Michael Colaresi, Mihai Croicu, Frederick Hoyles, Remco Jansen, Angelica Lindqvist-McGowan, David Randahl, Espen Geelmuyden Rød, Maxine Ria Leis and Paola Vesco, 2021. ‘ViEWS_2020: Revising and evaluating the ViEWS political Violence Early-Warning System’, Journal of Peace Research. doi: 10.1177/0022343320962157.
Croicu, Mihai, and Håvard Hegre, 2018. "A Fast Spatial Multiple Imputation Procedure for Imprecise Armed Conflict Events (pdf)". Paper presented at the 59th Annual Convention International Studies Association, San Francisco, California
Hegre, Håvard, Lisa Hultman, and Håvard Mokleiv Nygård, 2018. "Evaluating the conflict-reducing effect of UN peacekeeping operations (pdf)". Forthcoming in Journal of Politics. Appendix (pdf)
Hegre, Håvard, Marie Allansson, Matthias Basedau, Michael Colaresi, Mihai Croicu, Hanne Fjelde, Frederick Hoyles, Lisa Hultman, Stina Högbladh, Naima Mouhleb, Sayeed Auwn Muhammad, Desiree Nilsson, Håvard Mokleiv Nygård, Gudlaug Olafsdottir, Kristina Petrova, David Randahl, Espen Geelmuyden Rød, Nina von Uexkull, Jonas Vestby (2019) ‘ViEWS: A political violence early-warning system’, Journal of Peace Research, 56(2), pp. 155–174. doi: 10.1177/0022343319823860.
Hegre, Håvard, Mihai Croicu, Kristine Eck, and Stina Högbladh, 2018. "Introducing the UCDP-Candidate Events Dataset and the ViEWS Outcomes dataset. Monthly updated organized violence data in the form of events data as well as aggregated
to the country-month and PRIO-GRID-month level (pdf)". Typescript Uppsala University.
Colaresi, Michael, Håvard Hegre, and Jonas Nordkvelle, 2016. ‘Early ViEWS: A disaggregated, open-source violence early-warning system (pdf)'. Paper presented to the American Political Science Association annual meeting, Philadelphia, September 1.
Håvard Hegre, Halvard Buhaug, Katherine V. Calvin, Jonas Nordkvelle, Stephanie T. Waldhoff, and Elisabeth Gilmore, 2016. ‘Forecasting civil conflict along the shared socioeconomic pathways’. Environmental Research Letters 11(5)054002